User Growth Model

24-Month Sprint to 550K Users

$0 revenue

By design โ€” the platform IS the product

๐Ÿ’ก Why we don't model revenue

Charging fees would slow user acquisition, force us to compete against incumbents on price, and dilute the strategic asset we're building. Revenue would also anchor us at SaaS multiples โ€” strategic acquirers pay much more for category leaders with high engagement.

The metrics that matter for us โ€” and for our acquirers โ€” are users, engagement, GMV signal, and category share. Everything below is denominated in those.

๐Ÿ“Š Interactive Growth Model

Select a scenario to explore different acquisition trajectories

MetricMonth 6Month 12Month 18Month 24
Practitioners1K8K25K50K
Clients10K80K250K500K
Total Users11K88K275K550K
Monthly Burn$100K$130K$150K$150K

Total Users Over 24 Months

11K users
M6
M6
88K users
M12
M12
275K users
M18
M18
550K users
M24
M24

๐Ÿ’Ž Acquisition Math

๐Ÿ‘ค
$2
Client CAC
Acquired through practitioners
โ€ข Practitioner referral viral loop
โ€ข Practitioners bring own audience
โ€ข Free service has ~zero friction
Each practitioner brings ~10 clients
๐Ÿ”ฎ
$25
Practitioner CAC
Direct paid + outreach
โ€ข Instagram/TikTok paid: $40
โ€ข Direct outreach: $15
โ€ข Referral: $5
Blended target across channels
๐Ÿ“Š
$4
Blended CAC
Across all 550K users
โ€ข 50K practitioners ร— $25 = $1.25M
โ€ข 500K clients ร— $2 = $1.0M
โ€ข Total acquisition: ~$2.25M
$2.25M รท 550K = $4.09/user

๐Ÿ’ธ Burn & Runway

Capital Allocation (Base Case, $3M)

User Acquisition$2.1M (70%)
Product & Mobile$450K (15%)
Lean Team$300K (10%)
Legal & Buffer$150K (5%)

Why This Works

Burn averages ~$130K/month for 24 months = $3.1M

Lean team: 4-6 people total, no enterprise sales motion

Platform already built: infra costs scale slowly

Acquisition exit at M24: we don't need to reach profitability

~$130K/month average burn

$3M raise โ†’ 24 months of runway โ†’ 550K users โ†’ exit at $150M-500M

๐Ÿ“ˆ GMV as Acquirer Signal

We don't take a cut, but the GMV flowing through the platform is the single most credible signal of value to a strategic acquirer. We just don't monetize it ourselves.

CheckpointPractitionersSessions/MonthAnnualized GMV Run Rate
Month 61,0003,000$5.4M
Month 128,00028,000$50M
Month 2450,000200,000$360M

Assumes ~3 sessions/practitioner/month at $150 average session. We capture 0% โ€” the entire amount flows to practitioners.

๐ŸŽฏ 24-Month Milestones

User Targets (Base)

50,000
Practitioners
500,000
Clients
550K
Total Users
$360M
Annualized GMV Run Rate

Exit Path Milestones

  • โœ“
    M6: Beachhead validated
    PMF signal: organic growth + practitioner retention
  • โœ“
    M12: Mobile app + acquirer outreach begins
    Open dialogues with 5+ strategic acquirers
  • โœ“
    M18: Category default established
    3+ active acquisition conversations
  • โœ“
    M24: Signed LOI
    Target: $150M-500M acquisition